Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.348064 3.548134 3.760443 4.003648 4.275969 4.573197 4.924499
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.018962 3.279482 3.568666 3.916930 4.329802 4.810092 5.421107
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.752108 3.045824 3.383305 3.806257 4.332022 4.978579 5.858976
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.553579 2.871345 3.247525 3.736044 4.370554 5.193882 6.395608
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.395141 2.730882 3.139005 3.686469 4.427575 5.441344 7.031876
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.301986 2.662406 3.112764 3.738189 4.624464 5.913096 8.122958
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.142463 2.499150 2.952323 3.595285 4.533326 5.953429 8.545676
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.062465 2.432335 2.912499 3.613315 4.676948 6.381396 9.797196
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.983789 2.361849 2.861989 3.610652 4.788933 6.782988 11.183480
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.881933 2.254499 2.753521 3.513249 4.739052 6.895391 12.014104
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.784489 2.148127 2.639956 3.398868 4.648219 6.917765 12.660296
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.740656 2.112438 2.623623 3.430780 4.807139 7.457220 15.048836
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.706713 2.095626 2.643331 3.538337 5.149510 8.560744 20.883132
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.631237 2.016364 2.566270 3.483193 5.189122 9.029019 25.550170
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.556226 1.934032 2.479562 3.404438 5.173633 9.376415 30.943243
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.494746 1.868199 2.413886 3.355699 5.213094 9.906660 40.435836
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.441717 1.812051 2.359603 3.321797 5.280034 10.570732 57.888260
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.410985 1.787074 2.352246 3.370762 5.539818 12.034442 132.733199
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.348248 1.711473 2.259948 3.255872 5.406516 12.063188 190.833659
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.317223 1.682148 2.240311 3.274705 5.595533 13.501067 15094.151939
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.284841 1.649187 2.212624 3.275454 5.742922 14.956002 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.239620 1.594707 2.146492 3.195576 5.669117 15.318442 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.194384 1.538639 2.075198 3.100348 5.541069 15.335471 NaN